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spy 03-10 11 am 
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Post spy 03-10 11 am
The 12 hour cycle:
Attachment:
0310cycle12hr.PNG
0310cycle12hr.PNG [ 23.87 KiB | Viewed 25 times ]


And QID 11:30 am:
Attachment:
0310cycle12qid.PNG
0310cycle12qid.PNG [ 22.68 KiB | Viewed 14 times ]


11 day cycle:
Attachment:
0310spy11day.PNG
0310spy11day.PNG [ 59.42 KiB | Viewed 31 times ]

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Wed Mar 10, 2010 11:20 am
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Post Re: spy 03-10 11 am
I have been watching closely market action to see if it comfirms expectations given my current view of the cycles. So far this week I have seen nothing to persuade me that I have it wrong.

Here are some thoughts. The 66 day cycle has about 8 days to its peak (about 25 days from its bottom). View this as a sine wave that starts up slowly (first 8 days or so) to its point of maximum upward momentum. Say maximum momentum is days 9-24 and then momentum begins to wane days 25-33. It would now be in a period of waning momentum between now and March 23 its expected top. On the other hand the 33 day cycle is down about 5-6 days and should be approaching maximum downward momentum for the nexy 5-6 days. In total I would expect we may get some downward bias the next 5-6 trading days.

Don't misinterpret me - I don't expect much upside or downside action as we continue to trade in a narrow range like this week so far.

Here is a pictorial of the 5.5, 11 day, 33 day, 66 day cycles:
Attachment:
0311cycles.PNG
0311cycles.PNG [ 22.16 KiB | Viewed 15 times ]

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Thu Mar 11, 2010 8:38 pm
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